Saturday, September 7, 2013

Stage 14 Race Report and Results 2013 Vuelta a España




A young long shot survived to take the win in the first Pyrenean mountain stage today. We saw another stage winner come from the early breakaway on stage 14. Terrible weather had a big impact on the race, causing problems for many riders.

Here is my [rough] stage-14 report if you want to read a brief outline of how the race unfolded. Afterwards you’ll find some comments and my pick for tomorrow:

Stage 14 profile

Stage 14
Baga to Andorra, 155.7k

First day of bad weather
Rain, cold (Temps mid 40’s; beow 40f/5c at Envalira summit)

No TV images for first couple of hours due to cloud cover.

*Early Break went at km3: LL Sanchez, Gilbert, Ratto, Chainel, and Brown.
Lead is up to 11:25

The leaders are on the HC Envalira climb:
The HC climb is 26.7k long

Brown has been there to help Sanchez;
Brown and Chainel are quickly dropped on the climb

Friday, September 6, 2013

Stage 14, 15 and 16 Pyrenees Previews 2013 Vuelta a España



Collective profiles of stages 14, 15 and 16 through the Pyrenees

The Pyrenean stages visit three countries
Stages 14, 15 and 16 take the Vuelta a España into the majestic Pyrenees. The peloton will spend time in Andorra and France, cross eleven categorized climbs—five of which are category 1 or above—and only the strong will survive. Each of the next three stages ends with a category-1 summit finish.  Not one is a walk in the park, but stage 15 stands out as the big killer. I don’t know what other folks think, but in my opinion, stage 15 (which traverses four cat-1 climbs, and ends with the Peyresourde-Peyragudes double) is the queen stage of this Vuelta.


I am not going to be around for a few days, so I am writing this before stage 13. This post is a brief, single preview now for all three Pyrenean stages...

Thursday, September 5, 2013

Stage 13 Preview 2013 Vuelta a España



Stage 13 profile


Stage 13 on the map
Stage 13 is a rolling 169 kilometers, which looks at first glance like a sprinter’s stage. But the profile might be slightly misleading. The most outstanding characteristic on the profile is the climb that comes 115 kilometers into the stage. The category-1 Alto del Rat Penat rises 460 meters over 4.3k for an average gradient of a painful 10.6% and a max of 16%, but it tops out with about 50k to go to the finish. It should produce some splits in the peloton, probably dropping some of the sprinters, but 50k is a lot of road to pull back an escape.



The cat-1 climb profile

Ten KOM points are available at the summit of the category-1 Alto del Rat Penat climb, in addition to the three points up for grabs on the early cat-3 climb. While that is no windfall of mountain points, it could still be significant enough in a tight polka dot jersey race, to tempt a persistent jersey hunter like maybe Cofidis’ Nicolas Edet, or Saxo’s Tomas Marczynski, to get into the break.







The final 5k ends with a short slope up
The finale should prove to be the deciding factor when the riders speed in to Castelldefels on the Balearic Coast near Barcelona. 15 flat final kilometers lead up to a four hundred meter slope up to the line. The hill gets steeper toward the top, so this is not exactly ideal for the sprinters. But the stronger, punchy finishers should like the look of the finale.

Expect Philippe Gilbert and Edvald Boasson Hagen to go for it again tomorrow. I would also expect to see Rinaldo Nocentini, Michael Matthews, Gianni Meersman, maybe Stybar or Flecha, and possibly several of the top GC riders take a shot at that final kick up to the line. I would not be surprised at all to see Fabian Cancellara take another shot at a stage win on Friday.


My pick to win stage 13: I really like Nocentini, Gilbert, and Boasson Hagen for stage 13. Yesterday I picked Gilbert to win stage 13, but then he won stage 12 today. So I am going to go with Edvald Boasson Hagen of Team Sky for the win on Friday.

My dark-horse pick goes to Warren Barguil of Argos Shimano. 




Stage 12 Recap and comments 2013 Vuelta a España




After almost an entire year, Philippe Gilbert of Team BMC has broken the curse of the rainbow jersey. The World Champion beat Edvald Boasson Hagen to the finish line on stage 12 at the Vuelta a España today. Gilbert took his first win since his victory at the 2012 World Championship Road Race last September 23rd.

World Champ Gilbert breaks the curse

The finale of stage 12 appeared to be more difficult than the profile suggested. More inclines (though not steep) in the final kilometer particularly made a difference. The stage did come down to a bunch sprint finish, as expected, but it proved to be slightly more selective than I anticipated. 


The peloton caught the stage’s three early escapees inside of 19k to go, and a large field of riders was on hand to contest the finish. Edvald Boasson Hagen launched an impressive attack in the final 250 meters and built a quick gap, but Gilbert managed to come from behind and overtake the big Norwegian from Team Sky, in the last 20 meters. Both riders are tuning up for the upcoming World Championships in Tuscany. There, Gilbert will try to defend the rainbow bands in a 280k course that is supposed to be a difficult one.

Stage 12 Preview 2013 Vuelta a España




Fabian Cancellara put the big gears to work in the TT
Before the Vuelta began Fabian Cancellara expressed little interest in today’s hilly 38.8k time trial course. His primary goal, he said, was to train for the upcoming World Championships. The Swiss TT master has been a big part of Horner’s success so far, driving the train on all kinds of terrain, setting strong paces in the peloton, and nabbing a couple of stage podium finishes for himself and his Radioshack-soon to be-Trek team in the process.


Because of Cancellara’s value on the road to his Radioshack team, today’s hilly parcours, and Tony Martin’s post-reconnaissance statement that it was a course for the climbers, I was not sure Spartacus would go full gas today—or if he did, that he could pull out a win. But I guess you can’t take the time trial out of the time trialer.   

Cancellara’s time proved to be the best on the road today. He says he is still deciding about which race

Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Stage 11 Time Trial Preview 2013 Vuelta a España




"The old man" Horner in red again
Stage 10 of the Vuelta a España featured a steep summit finish where Radioshack’s Chris Horner earned his second stage win of the race, and reclaimed the red jersey of overall race leader as a bonus. To the other top GC contenders the American’s relentless attack with about 4.5k to go must have seemed too early to stick. It was not until almost 2k to go that Vincenzo Nibali responded with a move of his own to chase down the plucky American.


Nibali finished 48 seconds behind Horner, and :14 ahead of Valverde, Basso, Rodriguez and Pinot, with Nicolas Roche another eight seconds back. Daniel Moreno struggled on the climb, lost the race lead, and dropped down to 6th place.
Leopold Konig and Ivan Basso swapped places, Konig moved down from 7th to 11th place, and Basso up to 7th from 11th. The Italian Cannondale leader moving up as a result of the very good form he has been showing in the mountains.

You can see there was a lot more movement in the standings than after stage 9. Many riders made either significant advances or losses based on their performance on the final climb up the Alto de Hazallanas on Monday. Notably, beyond Horner moving into the lead, and the other “rearranging” of the top five, Thibaut Pinot of FDJ found the big climb to his liking, and he moved up ten spots to 8th place overall. His higher aspirations may find trouble next weekend however, with stages 14 and 15, as more descending will be on the menu—Pinot’s big weakness.

Sunday, September 1, 2013

Stage 10 Preview 2013 Vuelta a España




Mountainous stage 10 is the last in the south

Here is a reminder of the demanding stage-10 profile for Monday. The big summit finish will surely see more changes to the overall classifications. The GC favorites will likely fight hard for advantages, as the stage is followed by a welcome rest day on Tuesday (there is however a long transfer north before stage 11). After the rest day the riders will tackle the only individual time trial of the race on Wednesday which will further establish the pecking order ahead of the big Pyrenean stages to come.










Stage 10 Profile
 

Stage 10 categorized climb profiles




My pick to win stage 10: Joaquim Rodriguez.
I think Purito will want to go for whatever time he can grab in the mountains, before the TT on stage 11.

 

Sunday Standings Update - Stage 9 2013 Vuelta a España



Continuing from the previous post, here is a table of the top 40 riders in the General Classification for the Vuelta a España after stage 9. Again, the last column shows the number of places each rider has moved up or down in the standings since the previous stage.

As expected, stage 9 did not produce the same kind of time splits as stage 8—or as stage 10 will on Monday. Daniel Moreno took over the race lead with his impressive attack on the final steep kick up to the finish on Sunday. Most riders in the top 40 only rose or slid one to three spots. Pinot is the only one to have dropped back as many as five spots, and Purito’s four-spot jump up to 6th place puts him among the best improvers on stage 9.



2013 Vuelta a España Standings after stage 8




Here is a look at the overall standings, and how they have changed over the last three stages. I first included the GC standings after stage 7, then stage 8, and finally stage 9. The final column on the stages-8 and 9 tables shows the number of places in the standings that each rider has gained or lost from the previous stage.

You can see who the big winners and losers were. For instance, on the stage-8 summit finish, most noticeable among the losers are Roman Kreuziger (who coughed up more than five minutes on Saturday’s climb to the finish, and dropped 26 places in the standings), and then Robert Kiserlovski and Bauke Mollema who dropped 15 and 12 places respectively.

Many riders were among the winners Saturday, including Nicolas Roche (who took over the race lead), Leopold Konig (up to 5th place), Team Katusha (who moved Purito into the top 10, and Moreno into a podium position), and then Basso, Pinot and Pozzovivo (who all moved into the top 20).

More discussion after the tables…


GC STANDINGS AFTER  STAGE 7 (top 50)

Pos.
Name
Team
Time

1.
27h 29' 35''
2.
+ 3''
3.
+ 8''
4.
+ 16''
5.
+ 21''
6.
+ 26''
7.
+ 28''
8.
+ 31''
9.
+ 38''
10.
+ 42''
11.
+ 45''
12.
+ 46''
13.
+ 48''
14.
+ 48''
15.
+ 52''
16.
+ 53''
17.
+ 55''
18.
+ 59''
19.
+ 1' 10''
20.
+ 1' 12''
21.
+ 1' 15''
22.
+ 1' 16''
23.
OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP
+ 1' 21''
24.
+ 1' 30''
25.
+ 1' 30''
26.
+ 1' 30''
27.
+ 1' 32''
28.
+ 1' 36''
29.
+ 1' 41''
30.
+ 1' 45''
31.
+ 1' 50''
32.
+ 1' 52''
33.
+ 1' 58''
34.
+ 2' 02''
35.
+ 2' 03''
36.
+ 2' 23''
37.
+ 2' 37''
38.
VACANSOLEIL-DCM
+ 2' 49''
39.
+ 2' 52''
40.
+ 2' 57''
41.
+ 2' 59''
42.
+ 3' 37''
43.
+ 3' 39''
44.
+ 3' 56''
45.
+ 3' 57''
46.
+ 4' 32''
47.
+ 5' 06''
48.
+ 5' 13''
49.
+ 5' 42''
50.
+ 6' 02''

  
 

GC STANDINGS AFTER  STAGE 8 (top 40)
Pos.
Name
Team
Time
Pos. Change





1.
31h 39' 30''
+2
2.
+ 17''
--
3.
+ 17''
+5
4.
+ 18''
-3
5.
+ 29''
+9
6.
+ 30''
-2
7.
+ 31''
-2
8.
+ 42''
-1
9.
+ 52''
--
10.
+ 1' 03''
+6
11.
+ 1' 17''
+1
12.
+ 1' 28''
+15
13.
+ 1' 37''
+16
14.
+ 1' 42''
+1
15.
+ 1' 59''
+15
16.
+ 2' 01''
+10
17.
+ 2' 02''
+3
18.
+ 2' 03''
+3
19.
+ 2' 22''
+17
20.
+ 2' 25''
+15
21.
+ 2' 31''
-15
22.
+ 2' 40''
+9
23.
+ 2' 42''
+9
24.
+ 3' 00''
-7
25.
+ 3' 12''
-12
26.
+ 3' 17''
+15
27.
+ 3' 23''
+12
28.
+ 3' 43''
+12
29.
+ 3' 54''
+4
30.
+ 4' 07''
+7
31.
+ 4' 24''
-6
32.
+ 4' 26''
+2
33.
+ 4' 28''
+12
34.
OMEGA PHARMA-QUICK STEP
+ 5' 07''
-11
35.
+ 5' 46''
+14
36.
+ 6' 00''
-26
37.
+ 6' 04''
-9
38.
+ 6' 17''
+16
39.
+ 6' 33''
+11
40.
VACANSOLEIL-DCM
+ 6' 35''
-2


 

Stage 9 standings are on the way…