Stage 11 on the map |
The race of truth arrives to
test the riders’ strength against the clock. The stage-11 time trial on the scenic
island of Mont Saint-Michel is the first of two TT’s that measure just over
30k. The next one comes on stage 17 and contains two category-2 climbs. This 33k
TT however, is relatively flat, and will favor a somewhat different class of
favorites.
the majestic Mont Saint-Michel |
We viewers get to enjoy
another picturesque day as the Tour De France visits Mont Saint-Michel, but the
riders will be too busy eating up the road to enjoy the scenery. Some
rearranging of the General Classification will be on the menu.
Omega Pharma’s time trial
master, Tony Martin, who endured a concussion, a bruised lung, and a battered
body in a stage-1 crash, seems to be riding better and surely will give the TT
his all. The GC favorites will be racing hard to limit their losses to—or gain
time on—Chris Froome, who excels against the clock. But many very good time
trial riders are here to contest this stage.
Stage 11 ITT profile |
Besides Martin and Froome,
strong performances can be expected from the likes of Michal Kwiatkowski, and
Sylvain Chavanel. In fact Omega Pharma-Quickstep have several good TT cards to
play on stage 11; Peter Velits and Niki Terpstra are also talented against the
clock. I would expect a very high finish for Chavanel.
Several top GC riders like
Cadel Evans, Alberto Contador and Tejay Van Garderen have all been excellent at
the TT, but each one’s form has come into question. I think Contador and Evans
can pull out good rides on Wednesday, but Tejay doesn’t seem to be firing on
all cylinders. I would expect fast times by Jean-Christophe Peraud, Rui Costa,
and Bauke Mollema, and probably Alejandro Valverde. All have shown great form
lately.
Besides the GC guys, good
time trial contenders include Lieuwe Westra, Tom Dumoulin, Lars Boom, Svein
Tuft, Michael Rogers, Blel Kadri, and more. I have only named one Spaniard so
far, but I like one of Movistar’s young talents as a possible spoiler for Tony
Martin: 26-year old Jonathan Castroviejo. He has showed excellent results in
time trials like these. I see him in the top five at least.
MY PICK: Tony Martin. I
would not bet against him.
My dark-horse pick would be
Thomas Dumoulin of Argos-Shimano.
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